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      您現在的位置: 河北科技新聞網 >> 市場動態

      西葫蘆價格波動大 后市或將回落

      時間: 2019-07-25      來源:     



      今年4月份,西葫蘆的價格不斷下跌,低點時全國批發均價僅為1.6元/公斤。6月中旬后,西葫蘆的價格開始出現上漲,上漲的態勢非常強勁,目前西葫蘆的市場批發均價達到4元/公斤。

      西葫蘆的價格之所以上漲快,品質因素和供求關系發揮了比較重要的作用。一是經過4、5月份的銷售,一些產區的供應能力出現下降。目前市場上銷售的西葫蘆主要來自廊坊、保定、承德、張家口和天津武清、山西應縣等地,部分產區已經到了供應末期,而山西應縣新上市的西葫蘆品質又高,引領了西葫蘆價格上漲;二是最近一段時間,南方雖然多陰雨,但是北方地區多酷熱干旱,使得部分地區的西葫蘆生長受到了環境的限制,影響了西葫蘆的供應總量;三是6月17日以來,不僅僅是西葫蘆,28種全國重點監測的蔬菜價格均出現了上漲,蔬菜行情相互之間有著一定的影響,也帶動了西葫蘆的價格。

      接下來,張家口、承德、陜西西安的西葫蘆將會大量上市,與茄子、圓白菜等蔬菜相比,總的來說,西葫蘆的消費量還不是特別大,因此接下來價格下降是大概率事件。此外,從整個蔬菜供應來看,今年前幾個月,很多蔬菜的價格出現了上漲,這種上漲也刺激了產區的種植戶,近期張家口的蔬菜種植面積出現了較大的增長,隨著這些蔬菜集中上市,菜價也會出現迅速回落,也加大了西葫蘆接下來價格下降的風險。

      今年4、5月份,西葫蘆的價格曾一路下跌,有些大棚種植戶很慌亂,加速了采摘出貨的速度。而這段時間,將近一個月的持續上漲,又使得手中有存貨的種植戶、經銷商收益頗豐,這種過山車式的行情,使得加快出貨的人懊惱不已。由于西葫蘆易管理,耐運輸,這幾年西葫蘆的產量呈現增加的態勢,而西葫蘆的消費能力并沒有出現顯著的變化,種植戶要想獲得較好的收益,并且降低風險,要么提升技術實現提早上市,要么設定心理目標價格做到隨行就市。一味地等待行情,預測行情來選擇出貨時機,可能會遭受損失。張景民

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