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      您現在的位置: 河北科技新聞網 >> 市場動態

      西紅柿供應量日漸增多 價格行情漸趨回歸

      時間: 2019-04-01      來源: 央廣網     



      ??? 近半年來,西紅柿持續走俏,價格出現大幅上漲,甚至一度漲到5塊多一斤,讓許多市民連呼“吃不起”!隨著上市量的增加,近期西紅柿價格開始出現回落苗頭。雖然西紅柿漲價對農民來說是好事,但是,也必須看到,價格快速上漲引發市場連鎖反應,可能導致后期市場供應偏多,進而拉低價格,甚至導致虧損。

        近日,記者走訪北京新發地市場發現,西紅柿價格在經歷了前一段時間的大幅上漲之后,開始出現回落跡象。目前北京市場的批發價是2-3.8元/斤,雖然周環比有所下降,但相比去年仍高出一倍多。分析師李濤介紹,從全國情況來看,西紅柿行情也呈現出大體一致的走勢。

        分析師李濤:3月26日,國內硬粉西紅柿主流產區月均參考價2.30元/斤,較上月同期下跌0.52元/斤,環比跌幅18.78%,較去年同期的1.19元/斤,漲幅仍高達89.76%。

        去年,受降雨及炎熱天氣影響,主產區西紅柿減產,為冬季西紅柿行情上漲埋下了伏筆。

        北京新發地市場分析師謝磊:去年同期,南北方產區西紅柿的種植面積都比較大,四川的西紅柿進京以后,在新發地市場的批發價只有0.6-1元/斤,農戶、商戶都出現虧損。去年10月份以后,南、北方產區西紅柿都出現減種,使得西紅柿的價格近半年以來一直居高不下。

        隨著清明節氣的臨近,北方暖棚硬粉一茬貨源收尾,二茬暖棚西紅柿隨之陸續上市,整體來看供應面有所拉寬。

        分析師李濤:進入2月份,暖棚硬粉西紅柿貨源成熟周期縮短,供應面放大,西紅柿行情沖高后,逐漸窄幅下調。隨著3月份的到來,北方二茬暖棚西紅柿供應量日漸增多,加之南方露天西紅柿上市,屆時行情仍有下調空間。整體來看,西紅柿行情漸趨回歸。

        據了解,目前北京市場上銷售的西紅柿主要來自內蒙古赤峰、四川攀枝花、浙江溫州的蒼南地區以及遼寧的遼西地區。北京新發地市場分析師謝磊分析,上周西紅柿價格之所以出現松動,主要是遼西地區暖棚西紅柿在近期相繼開園,后期的上市量還會逐漸加大,西紅柿供應偏緊的局面開始得到扭轉。

        分析師李濤:前陣子,市場上銷售的西紅柿以四川攀枝花的貨源為主。上周,攀枝花的西紅柿開始退市,浙江的西紅柿開始進京,使得西紅柿的供應沒有出現斷檔。遼寧錦州、鞍山、盤錦暖棚西紅柿也開始進京,供應量逐漸加大,價格出現松動。

        另外,雖然山東的西紅柿也有少部分開始采摘,但是山東西紅柿的價格高于北京的價格,使得山東西紅柿暫時難以進京。

        分析師李濤指出,導致西紅柿價格波動最根本的原因仍為供需關系。其次,天氣因素、參市各方心態對行情的影響也尤為關鍵。

        分析師李濤:受年內高位行情影響,一茬暖棚貨源落棵率明顯提振,二茬暖棚貨源移栽種植量增加明顯。加之天氣日益向好,多地西紅柿上市,供應量增大,屆時行情下滑亦在情理之中。

        盡管暖棚種植西紅柿投資成本較高,但受西紅柿高收益及種植習慣影響,農戶種植熱情今年仍有提振;另一方面,國內規模化種植偏少,分散種植仍為主流,信息不對稱導致的盲目種植問題仍然存在。李濤建議種植戶,要進一步增強對市場信號的敏感度,避免跟風種植遭受損失。

        分析師李濤:建議農戶理性看待市場變化,時刻關注供應情況,不盲目跟風,在準確把握供需關系變化的基礎上,根據價格變化趨勢提前做出預判,適當調整種植面積。

      ?

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